{"id":26355,"date":"2023-06-18T11:10:22","date_gmt":"2023-06-18T09:10:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.urbanitae.com\/?p=26355"},"modified":"2024-01-18T15:36:19","modified_gmt":"2024-01-18T14:36:19","slug":"quel-est-le-secret-dun-investissement-sain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.urbanitae.com\/fr\/2023\/06\/18\/quel-est-le-secret-dun-investissement-sain\/","title":{"rendered":"Quel est le secret d’un investissement sain ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Il y a cinquante ans paraissait la derni\u00e8re \u00e9dition de L’investisseur intelligent<\/em>, le livre de chevet des investisseurs du monde entier, dont Warren Buffett. Dans le dernier chapitre, son auteur, Benjamin Graham, distille ce qu’il estime \u00eatre “le secret de l’investissement avis\u00e9 en trois mots”. Il le fait \u00e0 la fin parce qu’il s’agit du “concept de base de l’investissement”, un r\u00e9sum\u00e9 de ce qui d\u00e9finit l’investisseur intelligent.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le secret de l’investissement avis\u00e9 n’est autre que la “marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9”. Selon Graham, les investisseurs doivent acheter des actions ou des actifs lorsque leur prix de march\u00e9 est nettement inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 leur valeur intrins\u00e8que<\/strong>. Cette valeur est d\u00e9termin\u00e9e par l’analyse fondamentale, qui tient compte, entre autres, des donn\u00e9es financi\u00e8res, des flux de tr\u00e9sorerie et des perspectives de croissance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En achetant avec une marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9, les investisseurs se prot\u00e8gent contre l’incertitude et les erreurs d’\u00e9valuation potentielles. La marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 agit comme un coussin qui r\u00e9duit le risque de perte dans le cas o\u00f9 les estimations d’\u00e9valuation sont incorrectes ou que le march\u00e9 subit des baisses. La diff\u00e9rence entre le prix et la valeur r\u00e9elle des actifs constitue la marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avant tout, ne pas perdre<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Pour Graham, la marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 d\u00e9pendait de la capacit\u00e9 de gain attendue et des rendements obligataires. “La marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 est la diff\u00e9rence entre le pourcentage de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices sur l’action au prix pay\u00e9 pour l’action et le taux d’int\u00e9r\u00eat sur les obligations, et cette marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 est la diff\u00e9rence qui pourrait absorber tout \u00e9v\u00e9nement insatisfaisant qui pourrait se produire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L’essentiel est donc de minimiser les risques et d’\u00e9viter les pertes catastrophiques<\/a>,<\/strong> une approche que nous partageons dans ce blog. La raison en est claire : il est tr\u00e8s co\u00fbteux de se remettre d’une r\u00e9cession. Dans ses commentaires sur le livre de Graham, le journaliste financier Jason Zweig r\u00e9sume l’importance de la marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 : “En refusant de payer trop cher pour une action, vous minimisez les risques que votre richesse disparaisse soudainement ou soit d\u00e9truite”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M. Zweig cite l’exemple de JDS Uniphase, une entreprise technologique dont le cours de l’action est mont\u00e9 en fl\u00e8che lors du boom des “dotcoms”<\/a> en 1999-2000. L’action de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 valait plus de 153 dollars en mars 2000. Cependant, \u00e0 la fin de l’ann\u00e9e 2002, elles ont cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 \u00e0 2,47 dollars. M\u00eame si elles avaient alors progress\u00e9 de 10 % par an, l’investisseur qui les a achet\u00e9es \u00e0 leur apog\u00e9e aurait eu besoin de\u2026 43 ans pour r\u00e9cup\u00e9rer son argent.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"A\u00f1os
R\u00e9f\u00e9rence: Benjamin Graham, El inversor inteligente.<\/em> Editorial Deusto: 2022.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Le risque ne vient pas seulement du fait de “payer un prix trop \u00e9lev\u00e9 pour une action de bonne qualit\u00e9”. Pour Benjamin Graham, les principales pertes “proviennent de l’acquisition d’actions de faible qualit\u00e9 \u00e0 des moments o\u00f9 les conditions \u00e9conomiques sont favorables”. Les “b\u00e9n\u00e9fices courants” ne sont pas la m\u00eame chose que la “capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 g\u00e9n\u00e9rer des profits”.<\/strong> Lorsque les p\u00e9riodes fastes seront pass\u00e9es et que les b\u00e9n\u00e9fices courants auront disparu, il appara\u00eetra clairement que la prosp\u00e9rit\u00e9 n’est pas synonyme de s\u00e9curit\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Et si je me trompe ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Pour Graham, “une v\u00e9ritable marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 est une marge dont l’existence peut \u00eatre d\u00e9montr\u00e9e \u00e0 l’aide de chiffres, d’arguments convaincants et d’un ensemble d’exp\u00e9riences r\u00e9elles”. Mais m\u00eame la meilleure analyse peut se tromper. C’est pourquoi l’investisseur avis\u00e9 doit \u00eatre pr\u00e9par\u00e9 et assur\u00e9 contre les pertes si son analyse s’av\u00e8re erron\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Heureusement, “pour la plupart des investisseurs, la diversification<\/a> est le moyen le plus simple et le moins co\u00fbteux d’accro\u00eetre leur marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9<\/strong>“. Comme l’explique Graham lui-m\u00eame, une action individuelle peut avoir une mauvaise performance m\u00eame si la marge est en faveur de l’investisseur. “Avec une marge, tout ce qui est garanti, c’est qu’il y a plus de chances de faire des b\u00e9n\u00e9fices que des pertes, et non pas que les pertes sont impossibles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Or, si au lieu d’une seule action, on opte pour un grand nombre de titres de ce type, c’est-\u00e0-dire des titres avec une marge de s\u00e9curit\u00e9, “plus on peut affirmer avec certitude que l’ensemble des b\u00e9n\u00e9fices sera sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 l’ensemble des pertes”. C’est pourquoi la diversification est l’une des r\u00e8gles de base de l’investissement<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Benjamin Graham, le mentor de Warren Buffett, a r\u00e9sum\u00e9 sa politique d’investissement en un concept cl\u00e9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":37396,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[832],"tags":[905,833,829],"class_list":["post-26355","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-apprendre-a-investir","tag-diversification-fr","tag-education-financiere","tag-investissement"],"yoast_head":"\nQuel est le secret d'un investissement sain ? - Urbanitae Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Benjamin Graham \u00e9tait l'un des investisseurs les plus renomm\u00e9s de l'histoire. 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