{"id":21497,"date":"2023-04-02T09:15:47","date_gmt":"2023-04-02T07:15:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.urbanitae.com\/2023\/04\/02\/rentabilite-estimee-ou-rendement-total\/"},"modified":"2024-11-15T12:41:38","modified_gmt":"2024-11-15T11:41:38","slug":"rentabilite-estimee-ou-rendement-total","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.urbanitae.com\/fr\/2023\/04\/02\/rentabilite-estimee-ou-rendement-total\/","title":{"rendered":"Rendement estim\u00e9 ou rendement total ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Avant de parler de rendement, il convient toujours de rappeler la maxime de chaque investisseur: les rendements pass\u00e9s ne garantissent pas les rendements futurs. Le contraire, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire penser que parce qu\u2019un investissement s\u2019est tr\u00e8s bien comport\u00e9 jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent, il continuera \u00e0 le faire \u00e0 l\u2019avenir, conduit \u00e0 l\u2019une des erreurs fondamentales lors de l\u2019investissement: la poursuite de la performance. <\/p>\n

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Cette erreur est typique et se produit tous les jours dans l\u2019investissement en actions. Comme l\u2019explique le prix Nobel Daniel Kahneman, \u00ab les investisseurs sont enclins \u00e0 un exc\u00e8s de confiance et (…)<\/strong> L\u2019exc\u00e8s de confiance nous am\u00e8ne \u00e0 mal interpr\u00e9ter l\u2019information et \u00e0 laisser nos \u00e9motions obscurcir notre jugement. Cet exc\u00e8s de confiance am\u00e8ne de nombreux investisseurs \u00e0 choisir des fonds chauds<\/em> \u2013 qui ont affich\u00e9 des performances sup\u00e9rieures \u00e0 la moyenne \u2013 en croyant qu\u2019ils resteront tr\u00e8s rentables \u00e0 l\u2019avenir. La r\u00e9alit\u00e9, cependant, est que, en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral, les profits spectaculaires sur le march\u00e9 boursier sont suivis de chutes spectaculaires. Par cons\u00e9quent, les investisseurs qui recherchent les performances pass\u00e9es entrent sur le march\u00e9 \u00e0 un prix \u00e9lev\u00e9 et obtiennent des rendements tr\u00e8s faibles, voire n\u00e9gatifs.<\/p>\n

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Le principe selon lequel les performances pass\u00e9es ne garantissent pas les rendements futurs ne nous emp\u00eache pas de parler de rendements futurs, m\u00eame si nous devons le faire avec prudence. Apr\u00e8s tout, lorsque nous investissons, nous voulons tous avoir une id\u00e9e de ce qu\u2019il adviendra de notre argent \u00e0 l\u2019avenir. C\u2019est \u00e0 ce moment-l\u00e0 que la rentabilit\u00e9 estim\u00e9e <\/strong> entre en jeu. Pour expliquer ce que nous voulons dire, nous allons donner l\u2019exemple d\u2019Urbanitae. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Rentabilit\u00e9 estim\u00e9e \u00e0 Urbanitae<\/h2>\n

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Depuis mai 2022, le superviseur des plateformes de crowdfunding immobilier ne permet pas d\u2019avancer les chiffres de rentabilit\u00e9<\/a> estim\u00e9s dans les projets de plus-values. Cela ne veut pas dire que vous ne pouvez pas estimer la rentabilit\u00e9 d\u2019un projet. Ce calcul n\u2019est en aucun cas bas\u00e9 sur la rentabilit\u00e9 des projets pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents, mais sur les hypoth\u00e8ses commerciales du projet particulier. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Dans les projets de plus-values, Urbanitae r\u00e9alise une \u00e9tude exhaustive de ce plan d\u2019affaires pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 par le promoteur et l\u2019ajuste \u00e0 la baisse \u2013 et le compare \u00e0 un tiers, tel que, par exemple, Tecnitasa. Le r\u00e9sultat de cet ajustement est constitu\u00e9 des pr\u00e9visions de revenus et de d\u00e9penses qu\u2019Urbanitae publie dans le dossier de projet et qui servent de base au calcul de la rentabilit\u00e9 estim\u00e9e. C\u2019est-\u00e0-dire la rentabilit\u00e9 \u00e0 laquelle l\u2019investisseur peut s\u2019attendre dans des circonstances normales. <\/strong> <\/p>\n

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Dans le cas de projets de dette, la rentabilit\u00e9 r\u00e9pond aux conditions du pr\u00eat convenu entre Urbanitae et le promoteur, notamment les int\u00e9r\u00eats et la dur\u00e9e fix\u00e9s pour son remboursement. Dans ce cas, il est permis de publier le chiffre de rentabilit\u00e9 estim\u00e9, pour deux raisons. La premi\u00e8re est que les conditions soient fix\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019avance; la seconde, pour atteindre La rentabilit\u00e9 estim\u00e9e d\u2019un projet de dette ne d\u00e9pend pas tant de l\u2019avenir \u2013 de l\u2019\u00e9volution du projet sp\u00e9cifique \u2013 que de la capacit\u00e9 de remboursement du promoteur<\/strong> \u2013c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire si elle a les moyens de rembourser le pr\u00eat aux investisseurs aujourd\u2019hui\u2013.<\/p>\n

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Rentabilit\u00e9 totale \u00e0 Urbanitae<\/h2>\n

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La rentabilit\u00e9 estim\u00e9e peut \u00eatre totale ou annuelle. Le total est \u00e9galement connu sous le nom de rentabilit\u00e9 finale ou \n cash-on-cash<\/em>\n<\/a>. Lorsque nous ajustons cette rentabilit\u00e9 totale \u00e0 terme, g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement \u00e0 un an, nous parlons du taux de rendement interne ou TRI, comme nous l\u2019avons expliqu\u00e9 lorsque nous parlons de rendements dans Urbanitae<\/a>. Lorsque le projet n\u2019est pas termin\u00e9, nous parlerons de CoC ou de TRI estim\u00e9. Lorsqu\u2019il sera retourn\u00e9, nous pourrons d\u00e9j\u00e0 parler de v\u00e9ritable CoC et TRI.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Un aspect important \u00e0 retenir est que les d\u00e9clarations publi\u00e9es par Urbanitae sont des d\u00e9clarations brutes.<\/strong> Les avantages que vous obtenez pour vos investissements avec Urbanitae sont impos\u00e9s comme des revenus d\u2019\u00e9pargne, par tranches qui commencent \u00e0 19%. En g\u00e9n\u00e9ral, au moment de la restitution du projet, il fera la retenue minimale \u00e9tablie par la loi, pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment 19% des dividendes obtenus. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Pour finir avec l\u2019exemple, rien de mieux que de comparer l\u2019estimation avec la r\u00e9alit\u00e9. Dans le cas d\u2019Urbanitae, les choses se sont plut\u00f4t bien pass\u00e9es jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent. La plateforme a enti\u00e8rement restitu\u00e9 22 projets \u00e0 ses investisseurs : en moyenne, le Le rendement annualis\u00e9 (TRI) atteint 17 %, comparativement \u00e0 une estimation de 13,5 %. <\/strong>Le rendement total, en moyenne, est de 20,2%, comparativement \u00e0 la pr\u00e9vision de 19,4%. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Si l\u2019on s\u00e9pare les projets des plus-values, qui aspirent par nature \u00e0 des rendements plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s, les chiffres sont encore plus positifs. Dans les projets participatifs, le TRI final des neuf projets est revenu \u00e0 100 % \u00e9tait de 19,9 %, comparativement \u00e0 un TRI estim\u00e9 \u00e0 15,3 <\/strong> %. En ce qui concerne la dette, le TRI final moyen \u00e9tait de 14,9 %, contre une pr\u00e9vision de 12,2 %. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Ce ne sont pas de mauvais chiffres, n\u2019est-ce pas? Mais, vous savez, avant d\u2019investir, prenez votre temps: v\u00e9rifiez les pr\u00e9visions, posez des questions, visitez notre section Apprendre avec Mat\u00edas, appelez-nous. Et, si vous \u00eates convaincu par ce que vous voyez, investissez.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le principe selon lequel les performances pass\u00e9es ne garantissent pas les rendements futurs ne nous emp\u00eache pas de parler de rendements futurs, m\u00eame si nous devons le faire avec prudence. C\u2019est \u00e0 ce moment-l\u00e0 que la rentabilit\u00e9 estim\u00e9e entre en jeu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":50108,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[832],"tags":[1141,964,1367,1364,1936,1005,1008],"class_list":["post-21497","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-apprendre-a-investir","tag-cnmv-fr","tag-equite","tag-gains-fr-2","tag-plus-value","tag-rentabilidad-fr","tag-rentabilite","tag-urbanitae-fr"],"yoast_head":"\nRendement estim\u00e9 ou rendement total ? - Urbanitae Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Avant d\u2019investir, vous devez savoir combien vous pouvez gagner (et perdre). 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